🔥 MINYAK DUNIA RONTOK! PASAR TERLALU CEPAT PERCAYA DAMAI?
Harga minyak dunia bersiap menutup Juni dengan kejatuhan hampir 20%. Brent anjlok sekitar US$19 per barel, sementara WTI turun sekitar US$16 per barel dibanding akhir Mei.
Masalahnya? Pasar seolah menganggap gencatan senjata AS-Iran sudah permanen. Padahal kenyataannya belum ada kepastian!
Donald Trump mengklaim pembicaraan dengan Iran akan digelar di Doha, Qatar. Iran langsung membantah. Satu pihak bilang ada pertemuan, pihak lain bilang bohong, tidak ada jadwal.
Inilah yang bikin pasar terlihat seperti berjudi. Sedikit kabar damai langsung pesta jual besar-besaran, seolah ancaman sudah selesai. Padahal Selat Hormuz—jalur yang dilewati sekitar 20% pasokan minyak dunia—tetap menjadi titik paling sensitif di planet ini.
Analis ING bahkan mengingatkan bahwa pasar terlalu optimistis. Gencatan senjata ini hanya bersifat sementara. Kesepakatan permanen soal nuklir dalam waktu singkat dinilai sangat sulit. Satu salah langkah, satu rudal, satu keputusan politik saja bisa membuat harga minyak berbalik meledak.
Pasar boleh tenang hari ini. Tapi jangan sampai lengah. Geopolitik belum selesai, risiko masih hidup, dan dunia energi masih berdiri di atas bom waktu.
#Oil #Brent #WTI #Iran #AmerikaSerikat #Qatar #StraitOfHormuz #Energi #Geopolitik
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